Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 157.071460 184.630530 217.886530 261.698091 319.032282 3.932149e+02 499.468732
2025-01-26 127.098206 162.058953 209.751972 282.485425 396.536222 5.807735e+02 933.339333
2025-02-02 115.229320 155.824698 216.533345 320.704328 512.288933 8.979023e+02 1934.602654
2025-02-09 99.066331 138.706105 201.380971 317.343858 555.253479 1.121026e+03 3186.605077
2025-02-16 88.842093 128.138249 193.353232 322.522723 616.709881 1.449339e+03 5905.577909
2025-02-23 80.542450 118.984435 185.366723 324.669917 672.951901 1.841142e+03 11798.242483
2025-03-02 74.367606 112.270530 180.151207 330.598793 743.208605 2.407706e+03 30344.744378
2025-03-09 69.089314 106.266136 174.994270 334.959973 813.453605 3.149312e+03 118699.161218
2025-03-16 63.257005 98.504614 165.064236 325.251369 834.868548 3.718880e+03 678604.726589
2025-03-23 60.835889 96.596136 166.444777 343.963046 971.135994 5.669452e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 55.922581 89.487988 155.949015 328.688833 966.970164 6.431445e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 52.655058 85.170465 150.784896 326.810079 1020.998297 8.365405e+03 NaN
2025-04-13 48.981274 80.042481 143.870869 320.464500 1064.090355 1.105583e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 47.854309 79.811414 147.927095 348.768238 1324.385580 2.639634e+04 NaN
2025-04-27 47.899275 81.908130 157.775915 400.688214 1844.955785 1.731280e+05 NaN
2025-05-04 45.083578 77.760522 151.825333 396.094337 1966.429252 5.610095e+05 NaN
2025-05-11 43.085327 75.126310 149.231742 403.181047 2218.196622 3.993779e+07 NaN
2025-05-18 41.111677 72.344066 145.827636 406.123704 2454.849892 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 39.513335 70.220525 143.824107 414.262676 2796.124843 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 37.974482 68.081890 141.462876 420.262312 3158.147552 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.941933 64.673460 135.190213 406.921017 3206.152430 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 35.268957 64.270581 137.200244 432.681671 4076.208317 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 33.302428 60.757819 129.954840 411.638558 3947.365441 NaN NaN